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Harga Minyak Naik, Terseret Lonjakan Harga Gas Alam

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Journalist report, Nur Febriana Trinugraheni

WASHINGTON — Crude oil prices closed more than $2 higher in trading on Thursday (8/11/2022), after the International Energy Agency (IEA) raised its growth forecast by oil demand this year.

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The IEA’s decision was made after a trend emerged of soaring natural gas prices, forcing some consumers to switch from gas to oil.

Quoted by Reuters, the price of Brent crude oil futures rose US$2.20, or 2.3%, to settle at US$99.60 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures rose 2.6% to $94.34 a barrel.

In its monthly oil report, the IEA said natural gas prices have hit new highs, prompting consumers in several countries to switch to oil.

“Natural gas and electricity prices have reached new highs, triggering a switch from gas to oil in several countries,” the IEA said.

The international organization based in Paris, France, has raised the outlook for oil demand in 2022 by 380,000 barrels per day (bpd).

Contrary to the IEA, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) lowered its forecast for global oil demand in 2022. This drop was triggered by the impact of the Russian invasion of the Ukraine, high inflation and efforts to survive the Covid-19 pandemic. .

OPEC expects oil demand in 2022 to reach 3.1 million bpd, down 260,000 bpd from its previous estimate. But this figure is much higher than that estimated by the IEA.

The rise in oil prices was also fueled by the weakening of the US dollar, after the release of US inflation data in July slowed.

Meanwhile, rising oil inventories in the United States last week and the resumption of crude oil flows from pipelines supplying Central Europe limited the rise in oil prices.

The US Energy Information Administration said US crude inventories rose 5.5 million barrels in the week to Aug. 5, better than forecast for a 73,000 barrel increase.

Gasoline products supplied reached 9.1 million barrels per day, although demand fell 6% in the past four weeks.

The premium for September WTI futures on six-month barrel loading was set at US$4.38 a barrel, the lowest in four months, indicating a rapid easing in supply tensions.

Oil flows in the Druzhba pipeline, which carries supplies from Russia to Europe, have reopened, easing concerns about global oil supplies.

On Tuesday (08/09/2022), Russian pipeline operator Trasneft said Ukraine had suspended flows to several Central European countries since the beginning of the month because Western sanctions prevented it. prevented him from receiving transit fees from Moscow.

Meanwhile, physical oil prices around the world have started to decline, signaling easing worries about supply disruptions and growing worries about a possible global recession.

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